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Internal helper computing:

$$\mathrm{Var}(\hat{f}_k) = \frac{\sigma^2_k}{W_k}$$

where \(W_k = \sum_i w_{i,k} \cdot C_{i,k}^\alpha\). This is consistent with the WLS weight \(w_{i,k} / C_{i,k}^{2-\alpha}\) used in .lm_ata() and follows Mack (1993)'s distribution-free standard-error derivation for the chain ladder reserve estimator.

Paradigm pairing: the package keeps two natural analytical variance helpers, one per paradigm-target pair: .mack_f_var() (CL / Mack 1993 applied to f-factor) and .ed_g_var() (ED / Buehlmann-Straub 1970 applied to g-intensity). They share the underlying volume-weighted variance idea (\(\sigma^2_g = \sigma^2_f\) via \(g_k = f_k - 1\)), but operate on different Link columns (f reads loss_to/loss_from; g reads loss_delta/premium_from) and produce differently-named output columns (f_var / g_var), so are kept as separate helpers.

Also used by fit_ratio() for the CL component.

Usage

.mack_f_var(ata_fit, alpha = 1)

References

Mack, T. (1993). Distribution-free calculation of the standard error of chain ladder reserve estimates. ASTIN Bulletin, 23(2), 213-225.